Early polls don't always foretell the fate of a first-term president. Does anything? If polls are not perfect predictors of an incumbent's reelection, is there something else that is? Observers have long sought the True North by which to set their compass and their expectations. Ron Elving
So long, presidential debates? Why we may not see Trump, Biden or Haley face off The political debate seems to have become an endangered species, and there are no assurances we'll see Trump, Biden or Haley share the stage this year. Brianna Scott
Biden lands a potentially major endorsement for president — the UAW President Biden spoke at a United Auto Workers conference on Wednesday, after marching on their picket line earlier this year. The union has officially endorsed him. Don Gonyea
After seeming to bribe senate hopeful Kari Lake not to run, Arizona GOP Chair resigns The now-former head of the state's Republican Party accused Lake of leaking a recording in which he offers compensation if she will take "a pause for a couple of years" from running for public office. Ben Giles
The UAW endorsed Biden — and panned Republican frontrunner Trump as a 'scab' Most of the country's other big unions endorsed President Biden in the earliest days of his reelection campaign. But the United Auto Workers held back until today. Deepa Shivaram
5 takeaways from the New Hampshire primary Donald Trump beat Nikki Haley in the Republican primary Tuesday night. It's hard to see another chance for Haley to get ahead, but she is vowing to keep fighting and is looking toward South Carolina. Domenico Montanaro
Here's a timeline of when presidential candidates became likely nominees Nikki Haley has vowed to continue her campaign. But if she were to suspend before South Carolina's primary, it could be the earliest a candidate wraps up the nomination in the last 40 years. Domenico Montanaro
Trump wins the New Hampshire primary, putting him a step closer to the GOP nomination Donald Trump's decisive victory in the New Hampshire primary puts him on a clear path to securing the Republican nomination. It is also likely to fuel calls for Nikki Haley to drop out of the race. Tamara Keith
6 takeaways from the 2022 midterm election that's not over yet These midterm elections show why it's always important to never assume you know exactly what's going to happen in advance – and to keep an open mind for potential surprises. Domenico Montanaro
Supreme Court Rules State 'Faithless Elector' Laws Constitutional The decision could directly affect the election, which will take place in November amid a pandemic and a partial economic collapse. Nina Totenberg
